Sunday, November 04, 2012

Election News and Major Post Waiting

Hurricane Sandy just made the election even closer.  Rasmussen in its daily 3 day average running poll, now says that Obamanation and the Romani are tied 48 to 48%.  The Evil One looks Presidential.  The media is refusing to discuss Benghazi or looting in Coney Island and other coastal areas of Brooklyn.  And besides that, Staten Island, the entire island seems like a disaster area.  Yet, a very evil man stands posed to win the entire game (so he thinks), have more flexibility (so he thinks), and rule by Executive Order which is what he really desires.  So given that sorted detail this most important of elections must be followed.

I have a post which I am considering posting analyzing the possibilities of either man winning from the perspective of the Acharit HaYamim.  It is not quite ready yet, and I want to see if by Sunday evening if Obamanation speeds ahead.  Who knows?  This is all so volatile that given the disaster response in NYCity, Obamanation could lose New York??  Nah.  But G-d is pulling the levers.  Yet, because we live in the lower realm, we need to see the evidence of who will win what might be the most important election in the history of the world if if Obama actually wins.

Until the post is released tomorrow night, please look at the following.  And remind yourself.  What will happen in America if Obamanation seals America's fate by November 7th?  How many millions of Americans will flee for Canada with their wealth in tow?  How many will PM Stephen Harper allow in before he seals the Canadian border?  How seriously will Texas try to violently or peacefully secede from the Union?  Don't underestimate what Americans think and what they are thinking about this fateful time.

Here are some polls and genuinely unskewed analysis.

Rasmussen three day rolling average:  Rasmussen

This poll is unskewed in its nature and has no ulterior motive to confuse or to deceive.  Yet, it changes daily.  The 9:30 am Sunday poll may change from today's poll even if both polls will fully express post-Hurricane Sandy sentiment.  Right now the race is tied at 49% (as of Sunday, Nov. 4th) when just last week Romney was winning 50% to 46 or 47%.

Nate Silver's latest purely mathematical analysis:  Love him or hate him.  He is not trying to confuse or deceive.

G-d willing, the End of Days analysis will come either Sunday night or Monday morning.  Whoever wins will obviously alter how things progress.  With Obama, Geulah will involve an apocalyptic fireball or an outright meteorite shower on some stupid international conference that he will host in Rome, Maryland aka Washington D.C.  If you think that I am kidding,  Google Rome, Maryland.  This would be the Zohar on VaYeira 119 scenario.,_Maryland  I don't believe that this apocalyptic scenario will simply end in one year.  It might, but it is likely to lead to a three year war with Persia with fireworks in the Shmittah year 5775 (Medrash Sefer Eliyahu points to confrontations in 5772, 5773, and 5774 with an all out war in 5775).  Obamanation is obviously the darker road.  And on the 14th of Tamuz 5772, the confrontation did indeed begin with the Persians shooting off hundreds of missiles at American dummy targets.  The skirmishes in successive years will get more hairy.

If the Romani wins, it will begin as a sweet sunrise which will in 5775 (the Shmittah year) eventually lead to a World War against Persia which according to Medrash Sefer Eliyahu should last for a full year.  Frankly, I will not guess if G-d will be compassionate on us all and choose the way of the Romani (Romney).  But since we are three days away in such a close contest, just be prepared if the Evil One is re-elected.  Don't slough it off.  I hope that all of you are aware of how evil Obama really is.  So prepare if the 50% chance of a nightmare really occurs.  Tehillim, davening, and mitzvot of course are at the top of our minds, but make practical preparations if you can.  One last thing:  It is becoming obvious that in the war against a great evil, Romney chose beauty and looking Presidential rather than the Truth.  Now with the Hurricane, Obamanation can look just as beautiful and Presidential as the Romani.  St. Iram (Santorum) would have exposed how evil Obama was in Benghazi and would likely be leading by 10%....30 years ago.  Today the undecideds could care less about good vs. evil in foreign policy, and much less so in their own lives.  America in the last 32 years has changed dramatically.  So the Romani tried to defeat raw evil by looking Presidential?  Will it work just to make things easier on American Jews?  "The Event is in the Hand of G-d." said George Washington.  But to be honest with you, Hurricane Sandy has not helped Romney.  Look at your siddur for Shacharit, kri'at Shma.  Beauty and Truth are on opposite sides of the spectrum.  The signature of G-d is Truth.  Beauty is a distant 16th.  I am not sure that looking Presidential can defeat raw evil and its associated pack of lies.

Update:  I forgot to mention election fraud in the swing states.  Did you know that according to the Pew Research Center that there were 2 million dead voters on the rolls in South Florida, in those three beach counties where Jews are uncountable like the grains of sand at he seashore?  My guess: If they get their chance to vote, 100% of them will vote for Obama.

2nd Update:   Rasmussen has recently updated for Sunday, November 4th.  Both Romney and Obama are still tied, but this time it is 49 to 49%.  Romney is gaining in the three states hardest hit by Sandy, but those states are Safe Obama anyway.  There is no way that Romney is winning in New Jersey, New York, or Connecticut, or even Rhode Island even if he is gaining votes there because of mismanagement of the crisis.  The danger for Romney is that Obama is gaining in the super-close swing states because of the media blackout of the mismanagement of the crisis from the Hurricane.  So if this is the case, advantage Obamanation.  Obama is gaining in the contested swing states while Romney is gaining in hurricane ravaged states that he will never win.  If this continues and this is a big if, Obama will win the election......maybe.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

While in yeshiva I remember hearing that there would be a final Eliyahu hanavi vs priests of Baal style cookoff on har habait like happened on har Carmiel. In this korban contest avoda zora, Islam, or whatever wins, it is apparently a final test of emuna that we remember the conditions set in the Torah and don't follow the guy who can do the better miracle or magic trick.

11/04/2012 6:57 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think you're wrong. First of all, Nate Silver's nature as the NYTimes pollster is to deceive. He most certainly has an agenda.

Secondly, all the polls the mainstream media are putting out are skewed for Democrats because they over sample them. The MSM in their polls project a turnout equivalent to that of 2008-so around 39% of the pool is democrat and 30% are republicans. All polls regarding current voter enthusiasm show a big republican surge and major down swing for dems. If the race is this close in the polls given this reality, it's looking like Romney will win by around 5 points-that also includes Independents who break against the incumbent.

11/04/2012 7:01 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

I don't think that Rasmussen or Zogby polls are skewed toward Obama. If they skew, pardon the pun, this one up, they will lose their credibility as pollsters in the future. Same with Nate Silver. His polling results come from a transparent mathematical model. Don't you think that Rasmussen and Zogby know the criticisms that will be leveled at them if they are wildly wrong?

The only point that might skew the polls is the excitement factor. Attendance at Obama rallies is way down at this time from four years later. Yet, this would also be factored into Rasmussen's 3 day moving average or into Zogby's/ Newsmax polling. Oh, by the way, Newsmax is not a left wing front organization. Newsmax wants to elect conservatives! So unless you can come up with a legitimate skew factor, you can't claim that Rasmussen or Zogby/ Newsmax are biased for Obama. Might they all be wrong?? Of course that is possible, but it is not because of bias.

11/04/2012 7:13 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Sorry change the sentence above to:

Attendance at Obama rallies is way down at this time from four years ago.

11/04/2012 7:15 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

For instance, this is from last Wednesday in Ohio, a Newsmax/ Zogby poll:

Now, are you going to claim that Newsmax is biased for Obama? Of course not. Newsmax is a conservative news source. Most conservatives depend upon Newsmax to unskew the news for them. Yet, lo and behold Obama is leading Romney in Ohio by a significant margin. Maybe the poll is just wrong. Ok we can agree that that is a possibility. But there is a 0% chance that Newsmax/ Zogby are biased for Obama.

11/04/2012 7:26 PM  
Blogger Devorah Designs said...

Speaking of election fraud....I live in Chicago, and I went to vote early the other day and also wanted to check on the security around my deceased neighbor's name. I am the Executor of his Estate and he died in April - not enough time to remove his name from the voter list. For early voting, you have to show photo ID, for the actual election just walk in there and give your name and they ask you if you are still living at such-and-such address! In the past, I questioned this, but... So I asked the election judge what I should do to prevent anyone from walking in there and voting in his name. He lowered his voice and said, "You can call the Board of Elections and tell them the man is dead, but if you do that then you are alerting them that there is an empty vote ready and available. This system is corrupt, if i were you, I would say nothing and hope that no one votes in his name." He then looked side to side checking on whether his fellow workers heard him..."I've said enough, just do nothing and hope for the best."

11/04/2012 8:45 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

The exception might be in Pennsylvania. The state was leaning Obama before Sandy. The state was directly affected by the storm. So Romney is surging in Pennsylvania and has a shot at winning it. Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes, and because Philadelphia was affected by the storm, Romney might surge there.

11/04/2012 8:52 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

any thoughts on the city Tzoar in this parsha where lot runs to to escape the Destruction of the cities in his time and its also in the end of the Torah which you wrote about regarding gush katif and katrina/new orleans..?

also Romney is made up of Rome NY - any thoughts?

Obama was looking almost presidencial until his comment on revenge and now people are upset that he once again has failed them and not done even a fraction of basic expectations to meet the needs of the storm hit people

11/05/2012 2:05 AM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Yes, the last minute dynamics of this election are so so complicated. Romney is surging in Pennsylvania because Philadelphia has storm damage from the superstorm. He is also likely surging in New Jersey and New York, but Obama is too far ahead there for him to catch up. Outside of the storm area, Obama was surging because the media was helping him look Presidential and compassionate to get him elected. Benghazi and his great Evils are not being covered except by Foxnews and Glenn Beck. Then came the Revenge comment. "Voting is the best revenge." Yea, that stops whatever momentum Obama had from looking Presidential in its tracks. So it is Beauty against raw Evil again. And this race is a toss up. I think that I will delay my post until tomorrow, but this election is looking like it is way too close and ripe for massive voter fraud in key swing state cities. As far as Rome NY. That is a good one, but Rome was actually in Maryland on the Potomac River and is now Wash. DC. It is more like Romney is the Romani, and he will fit the role of the one who takes on Persia in he final great war between Rome and Persia. If Obama wins, the situation will be far different and far more difficult, but "the matter is in the Hand of G-d."

11/05/2012 2:42 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rasmussen is definitely the best of the polls, but has been consistently showing Romney with a lead...I think these last few polls may be outliers. That being said, even this last poll shows that Romney is ahead with voters who have already decided who to vote for. I say it will be a Romney landslide.

11/05/2012 3:04 AM  
Anonymous ozarkyid said...

Dear (American) Holy Jew(s)! Regardless of who wins this farce election in America, Know, and pray, that HASHEM would lead you to the other Holy Jews who have gone before you, and left the cities. They have been growing healthy, pure, food and raising kosher animals, and are prepared to defend you with their lives, so that we will endure whatever we must until HASHEM says, "Enough!"
We are in the Smoky Mountains. We are in the Ozark mountains. etc. If you cannot, and not financially able to get to Yisrael, Learn from the Holy Torah, and flee the cities for the mountains! Chazak V'Amatz!

11/05/2012 5:59 AM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Ozarkyid: Thank you for posting. The situations in the cities will collapse no matter who wins. See my posts from last year on this blog and on Mystical Paths. It is time for Jews to leave the cities and be in safer places in the country in states that do not grant marriage or Civil Union contracts to homosexuals. Missouri and Tennessee are great states for this. I heard that Rav Ariel Bar Tzaddok in setting up a survivalist camp in the Smoky Mountains in Eastern Tennessee. And now I see that you are doing the same in the Missouri or Arkansas Ozarks. Could you please leave a website or email address so that people in the large cities can be in contact with you?

11/05/2012 11:09 AM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Just to let people take note, I will not be posting the major post until after the Rasmussen numbers for Monday are released. Obama's stupid statement about revenge has again changed the outcome of this election. The last thing the undecideds wanted to hear about was "how to take revenge". Obama besides being evil can sometimes be a political imbecile even when things are beginning to go his way.

11/05/2012 12:48 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Ok in an election where looking good is more important than being good or being true, asking voters to "Take revenge at the polls" does not look good, and yes revenge is not good either. Yet, the mere suggestion to channel one's anger into one's vote is not intrinsically evil, but it surely looks horrible. Obama had caught Romney because of the impression that he looked good directing relief from Hurricane Sandy even if FEMA's response may have been deplorable and even if the looting in the NYCity area has been massive and not reported. He still looked good to those who do not live there. But with this most recent statement, he may have lost the entire shebang. Calling for revenge is confrontational and divisive, and saying it has hurt him. Rasmussen's latest for Monday, Nov. 5th is that Romney is back in front by a measly 1%, 49 to 48% with 2% for Gary Johnson or some other candidate. This will affect my major post later today. American Jews, If Romney wins, you can breathe a sigh of relief, and thank the present POTUS for calling for "revenge".

11/05/2012 4:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Obama makes a better Gog than Romney. Perhaps it's in Hashem's plan to re-elect him so that plans for Gog uMagog will be underway, bringing a national teshuva in Am Yisrael, and a speedy final redemption.

11/05/2012 7:32 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

Yea, Obama will not only come to divide Jerusalem, he may even try to shove a "one state solution" down our throats which would force Israel to absorb 5 million Arabs, most of whom were trying to return from whence they came 64 years ago. It is easy to see him hosting such an international conference this year in 5773. Gog? No, Gog W. Bush, Jr. was Gog. We messed that one up ourselves by our vile behavior toward each other in 5765. He should have been dead in the Valley of HamonGog by the Fall of 5769 rather than getting ready to frolic around his ranch in Crawford, Texas. Where Gog wanted to maintain the wealth of Western Civilization, the anti-Gog called Obama wants to destroy the wealth of his own country by distributing its wealth amongst the 3rd World. Yet, he is definitely the Evil One if he is re-elected which of course is a big if. That will come out in the post which I will publish, bli neder before going to sleep. I have decided to entertain both possibilities since this election is too close to call.

11/05/2012 8:07 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dov, will you vote?

11/05/2012 8:30 PM  
Blogger Dov Bar-Leib said...

We voted absentee three weeks ago in our former St. Louis Co., Missouri precinct. Missouri is safe Romney though. American Expatriots living in Israel have a moral obligation to vote for Romney. especially if their former residences where they are registered to vote are Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, South Florida, Virginia suburbs of Washington, D.C., Eric Cantor's district in Virginia, and Raleigh, North Carolina and any other state which is up for grabs. Suddenly, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Allentown are important too. Now, the only way to vote from Israel now is to find out if one can fax in or scan into an email their absentee ballot. Sending in the ballot by mail today is a waste of time. Hopefully everyone voted weeks ago.

11/05/2012 8:44 PM  

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